I’m a new reader, working my way through all your articles from the beginning. Apologies in advance if this is addressed elsewhere.
I’ve made all of these arguments over the past year with zero success at deconverting the Covid Cult. One thing I can’t deny is that there was a higher percentage of deaths last year than previous years. I’m not a statistician or professional of any sort, but I ran the numbers myself last November, downloading data directly from the CDC website. At that time we seemed to be on track for 350k + excess deaths, adjusted for population growth (I could be off quite a bit ... going off memory). I never followed up to look at where we ended up at year end ... but how would you explain 2020 excess deaths? Or (thinking out loud) maybe these numbers tie out and actually confirm that ~6% of deaths can be attributed to Covid alone? 🤔
It's true. The more facts you provide, the angrier they get.
Ok - so that's the same article I'm commenting on and in re-reading I see that you did address this. Sorry about that! To restate - just to make sure I understand correctly: 1. Some dispute an increase altogether (I'd be curious how they'd defend that?). 2. For those that do not dispute the increase, excess mortality is explained by an aging population, delayed medical care, the many effects of lockdowns, and actual Covid deaths (but 70-90% less than what is reported due to faulty PCR testing). Furthermore, it's reasonable to expect decline in mortality for 2021 (vs. 2020) and a few years into the future due to lockdown effects being spread into future years. Do I have that right?
Yes, that's it. And maybe the "pull forward" effect isn't obvious on a calendar year basis. But I'm sure it exists.
I always come back to this: look at the world of people you know, directly or indirectly. How many have died? How many of those who did were old, sick or obese?
Compare that to the number of people you know who have died under 60. I have known many dozens in this group. Cancer, gunshots, car wrecks, heart attacks......
And we didn't disfigure society over any of those deaths
It's my understanding that "excess deaths" are any deaths over the predicted amount. Who does the predictions?
What we should be looking at is death rate per million. If the population increases, there are more people and with more people come more deaths. Has the rate increased? That's the only thing to look at.
"Excess deaths" is not a rate increase. It's just more deaths than expected.
Mark,
I’m a new reader, working my way through all your articles from the beginning. Apologies in advance if this is addressed elsewhere.
I’ve made all of these arguments over the past year with zero success at deconverting the Covid Cult. One thing I can’t deny is that there was a higher percentage of deaths last year than previous years. I’m not a statistician or professional of any sort, but I ran the numbers myself last November, downloading data directly from the CDC website. At that time we seemed to be on track for 350k + excess deaths, adjusted for population growth (I could be off quite a bit ... going off memory). I never followed up to look at where we ended up at year end ... but how would you explain 2020 excess deaths? Or (thinking out loud) maybe these numbers tie out and actually confirm that ~6% of deaths can be attributed to Covid alone? 🤔
Please see
https://markoshinskie8de.substack.com/p/the-covid-death-toll-is-phony
Conversion won't happen. The fearful don't listen to reason or facts. They're been brainwashed.
I discuss excess mortality here:
https://markoshinskie8de.substack.com/p/the-covid-death-toll-is-phony
It's true. The more facts you provide, the angrier they get.
Ok - so that's the same article I'm commenting on and in re-reading I see that you did address this. Sorry about that! To restate - just to make sure I understand correctly: 1. Some dispute an increase altogether (I'd be curious how they'd defend that?). 2. For those that do not dispute the increase, excess mortality is explained by an aging population, delayed medical care, the many effects of lockdowns, and actual Covid deaths (but 70-90% less than what is reported due to faulty PCR testing). Furthermore, it's reasonable to expect decline in mortality for 2021 (vs. 2020) and a few years into the future due to lockdown effects being spread into future years. Do I have that right?
Yes, that's it. And maybe the "pull forward" effect isn't obvious on a calendar year basis. But I'm sure it exists.
I always come back to this: look at the world of people you know, directly or indirectly. How many have died? How many of those who did were old, sick or obese?
Compare that to the number of people you know who have died under 60. I have known many dozens in this group. Cancer, gunshots, car wrecks, heart attacks......
And we didn't disfigure society over any of those deaths
It's my understanding that "excess deaths" are any deaths over the predicted amount. Who does the predictions?
What we should be looking at is death rate per million. If the population increases, there are more people and with more people come more deaths. Has the rate increased? That's the only thing to look at.
"Excess deaths" is not a rate increase. It's just more deaths than expected.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/italian-institute-health-drastically-reduces-its-official-covid-death-toll-number?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29